The price of pink shell eggs in the Huanggang and Xishui markets continued to stabilize at 45 kilograms and 202 yuan today; the brown-shell egg market stabilized at 4.45 yuan for large-size eggs yesterday and is expected to remain stable today; the price of old hen markets continued to fluctuate.
Summary of the daily operation of the national egg market yesterday and analysis of today's market fortune.
The Double Eleven effect has weakened. Yesterday, the market was flat and egg prices weakened again.
Yesterday's egg and eliminated chicken price trend. Most egg prices across the country stabilized yesterday, and some regions fine-tuned them. The average price of eggs in the main production area was 4.49 yuan/catty, slightly higher than the previous day's price; the average price in the main sales area was 4.84 yuan/catty, which did not change much from the previous day's price; The prices of old hens in the main production areas were mostly stable. In some areas, the average daily price of old hens was 6.37 yuan/catty, slightly lower than the previous day's price.
Analysis of the driving factors that affected the market price of the day yesterday.
Egg market analysis. Supply: The supply of goods in the production area is stable, and most breeding units ship goods according to the trend. Demand: The overall market is stable, and terminals purchase more on demand and wait and see carefully. Inventory: The average inventory in the production link yesterday was 1.03 days, and the average inventory in the circulation link was 1.03 days. Raw materials: On November 11, the national average corn price was 2,093.19 yuan/ton, down 16.82 yuan/ton from the previous working day, a decrease of 0.80%, a month-on-month decrease of 0.52%, and a year-on-year decrease of 19.13% year-on-year. Corn prices in Northeast China fell by 10-20 yuan/ton; mainstream prices in North China fell by 10-20 yuan/ton; prices in inland and coastal areas in the south fell by 20-30 yuan/ton. Farmers in Northeast China continue to sell grain, the supply of Chaozhou grain is loose, and corporate and port prices have been lowered, resulting in a fall in corn prices. Some farmers and traders in North China sell appropriate amounts of corn, and companies have increased their arrival and reduced their purchase prices, resulting in a slight drop in corn prices. The southern region followed the price adjustment of production areas, and mainstream prices fell. The closing price of soybean meal futures M2501 on the Dalian Commodity Exchange was 3086 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan/ton, or 0.82%. Yesterday, the average spot price of soybean meal nationwide was 3144 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton from the previous working day. Yesterday, consecutive soybean meal fluctuated strongly, and the average spot price of soybean meal nationwide rebounded accordingly. The data reported by American Farmers exceeded market expectations, and the price of American soybeans increased, providing certain support from the cost side. News from China continues to fluctuate, and tight supply in some regions has not improved yet, but market transactions have returned to rationality.
Analysis of the old hen market. Supply: Some breeding units are taking advantage of the trend to seek chickens, while some still have a wait-and-see attitude, and the supply of goods is limited. Demand: The demand in farmers 'markets is average, and the demand in slaughterhouses is average. Purchase is taking advantage of the trend. At present, the number of old hens sold out is not large, and terminal demand is average. Most of the prices of old hens have stabilized, with adjustments being made in some regions.
Industry insiders surveyed the sentiment of today's market forecast. Zhuochuang Information conducts a daily survey of the mood changes of 200 mainstream buyers and sellers. It is expected that most egg prices across the country may stabilize today, and some regions may adjust within a narrow range.
Today's market forecast. Eggs: At present, the supply of goods in most regions is relatively stable, and the market is normal. Most operators follow the trend to buy and sell, maintain low inventories, and wait and see carefully. Zhuochuang Information predicts that most egg prices across the country will stabilize or stabilize today, and a few regions will adjust within a narrow range. Old hens: The supply of old hens is limited, breeding units are reluctant to sell, and the market demand is average. It is expected that the prices of old hens will most or stabilize tomorrow, and a few areas will adjust within a narrow range.
Today, most of the national egg market prices are weak and stable, and some are still adjusted. The four major sales areas are stable in Beijing, Shanghai, and Fujian. The Guangdong market still controls the rise and fall of prices based on the number of vehicles arriving. Yesterday, Guangzhou's Chatou Market arrived normally and the goods were slow and the prices were stable. The Dongguan market's arrival volume decreased from the previous day (Zhuochuang data) by 65 vehicles (Xinli Market statistics were 69 vehicles). The goods were slow and the prices fell steadily and fell. Capital prices are high. If the price is not suitable, unloading and selling are not allowed.
In the early stage, the capital thought it was copying the bottom and copying halfway up the mountain. Now it needs to continue to take goods to fill the pits and make up the positions. The price of Hebei's production area has been lifted up with the capital. The result of the stalemate between the two sides is that the hole in the market will be dug wider and wider, and finally we invite everyone to jump together.
Huanggang Market has a large number of laying hens and a high degree of scale. There are most traders but few with large sales. In particular, the completion of the Huazhong (Xishui) Egg Trading Center has become the center of national attention. I hope that the vast number of egg merchants in Huanggang will strive for unified quotations and focus on operations. Trading companies in counties and cities with a daily trade volume of less than 3000 boxes should not provide quotations to Zhuochuang, which in fact will not play any role. At the same time, it is hoped that the majority of breeding companies will consciously resist small merchants and hawkers, act as an intermediate force in maintaining market order, and straighten their backs and make decisions on their own eggs.
In the past two days, the egg prices at each egg store in the Huazhong (Xishui) Egg Trading Center have been low and fast, but they cannot increase the price. If you want to increase the price, there is no need to negotiate. There is a lot of goods, and if you don't sell them, someone will sell them. Therefore, the price is still controversial. Some breeding companies demand price increases, but most egg merchants demand stability. Most people think that it will only take a day or two to speculate on the Double Eleven. If the goods are still good after the Double Eleven is over, it will not be too late to rise again. Facts have proved that it is correct not to follow Hebei. At the very least, Hubei has no risk of inventory. The Huanggang and Xishui markets continue to stabilize today. The price of 45 kilograms is 202 yuan and the price of less than 41 kilograms is reduced by 2 yuan. The price of less than 195 yuan for less than 41 kilograms is reduced by 1 yuan. The price of less than 192 yuan is the same. The price of brown-shell eggs stabilized yesterday at 4.45 yuan per catty for large size eggs, and 10 cents per catty for medium and small sizes. It is expected to remain stable today.
The downward trend of the price of old hens in the market is also difficult to support, because the terminal consumption in the old hen market is indeed too poor. Slaughtering companies from north to south only accept small-sized chickens, and focus on small-sized chickens only. Part of it is needed in the live poultry market. However, in recent years, almost universal weights raised by laying hens are biased, and there are very few small-sized chickens. The demand in the end market basically does not need to be divided, as long as chilled and white strips, and there are also weight requirements on chilled and white strips. The price exceeding the weight is generally 2000 yuan cheaper per ton. Therefore, slaughtering companies only accept old chickens weighing less than 3.9 kilograms. It is better for chickens weighing more than 3.9 kilograms to stop production and pay workers 'wages than losing one chicken. While there is no sign of changing demand in the end market, local slaughtering companies are also adopting relevant acquisition strategies. The prices of chickens weighing less than 3.9 kilograms in the Beijing flour and grey chicken series are also available.(Prices in Hubei are all pre-shed prices)5.6 to 5.9 yuan. The purchase price of Beijing flour and grey chicken series is lower if the weight is above 3.9. The price of Roman flour chicken is lower by 5.6 yuan. Some factories only accept chickens under 3.8 kilograms, and they refuse to be overweight chickens. The price is 5.6 to 5.9 yuan for small live poultry and good quality, and the price for brown chicken is 6.3 to 6.4 yuan. Although the quantity of chickens has been increased in the past two weeks, terminal demand has not improved, so the removal of production capacity is not obvious. Quotation is a reference and cannot be used as the basis for your transaction.
(Source: Huanggang Egg Association)
